The House Of Rothschild Part 12

-JAMES TO HIS ENGLISH NEPHEWS, OCTOBER 1836

The Rothschild system of issuing and trading bonds for the European powers was immensely lucrative as well as giving the family real political leverage. Yet it had its limits. When the Rothschilds attempted to extend their geographical reach to new regions in the course of the 1830s, they encountered difficulties. With the benefit of hindsight, the historian can see that one of the greatest omissions of the period was the failure to establish a stable and reliable Rothschild base in the United States of America. However, to see why this did not happen it is necessary to unravel a complex story of trial and error which had its roots in the highly unstable finances of Spain and Portugal; for the route which led the Rothschilds to the Americas started here.

Iberian Dilemmas.

While the rest of Europe had revolutions, it might be said, Iberia had dynastic civil wars. Superficially, there were ideological divisions, as elsewhere, between ultra-conservative clericals, moderate const.i.tutional liberals and more radical democrats. Fundamentally, however, the politics of Spain and Portugal in the 1830s and the 1840s had more in common with the politics of the Wars of the Roses. From a banker's point of view, there is nothing a priori a priori wrong with civil war in a foreign country. Like any other kind of war, civil wars require money and with domestic tax systems in disarray that money usually has to be borrowed. Though they were more cautious than other bankers, the Rothschilds proved ready and willing to lend to whichever side they thought would win in both Portugal and Spain. Their princ.i.p.al concern in the first phase of this involvement was that other powers might become embroiled in the conflicts, leading to the general European war which was the Rothschilds' recurrent nightmare. As it turned out, no such escalation occurred, though Britain, France and Austria all sought to interfere indirectly in the affairs of the Peninsula. The real difficulty was that, in the absence of decisive foreign intervention, the Iberian civil wars dragged on inconclusively. This meant that by the late 1830s the interest was no longer being paid on loans raised just a few years before. As a result, Spanish and Portuguese bonds performed the same role in the bond market of the 1830s as had been played by Latin American bonds in the 1820s: as James put it succinctly (and repeatedly), they were little better than "s.h.i.+t." wrong with civil war in a foreign country. Like any other kind of war, civil wars require money and with domestic tax systems in disarray that money usually has to be borrowed. Though they were more cautious than other bankers, the Rothschilds proved ready and willing to lend to whichever side they thought would win in both Portugal and Spain. Their princ.i.p.al concern in the first phase of this involvement was that other powers might become embroiled in the conflicts, leading to the general European war which was the Rothschilds' recurrent nightmare. As it turned out, no such escalation occurred, though Britain, France and Austria all sought to interfere indirectly in the affairs of the Peninsula. The real difficulty was that, in the absence of decisive foreign intervention, the Iberian civil wars dragged on inconclusively. This meant that by the late 1830s the interest was no longer being paid on loans raised just a few years before. As a result, Spanish and Portuguese bonds performed the same role in the bond market of the 1830s as had been played by Latin American bonds in the 1820s: as James put it succinctly (and repeatedly), they were little better than "s.h.i.+t."

This resemblance was not coincidental. For earlier events in Latin America were not only responsible for sending inveterate troublemakers like Dom Pedro back to Europe; they also fundamentally weakened the fiscal systems of both Portugal and Spain, which had come to rely heavily on the revenues from their transatlantic empires. Portugal and Spain were thus not merely politically unstable; in many ways that was also true of France, where a similar kind of dynastic feud had seemed a possibility after 1830. The Iberian problem was one of chronic national insolvency. Trying to make money from two countries which recurrently teetered on the verge of bankruptcy proved much less easy than the more sanguine Rothschilds initially a.s.sumed.

The Portuguese story is the less complex of the two; it also proved to be the less lucrative. We have already seen that Nathan had interested himself in the affairs of Portugal and her sister-kingdom Brazil in the 1820s, arranging loans for both, secure in the knowledge that this was a traditional British sphere of interest. In doing so, he had unwittingly been lending to both the combatants in the impending civil war: Dom Miguel, whose coup he had backed in 1828, and his brother Dom Pedro, the Emperor of Brazil and father of Maria II, the Queen of Portugal whom Miguel had overthrown. In April 1831 Pedro was forced to abdicate in Brazil in favour of his son; he at once set off for France, intent on restoring his daughter to power in Portugal. For no very good reason, French liberals (and some British Whigs) tended to a.s.sume that Pedro was a kindred spirit, casting Miguel as a kind of Portuguese Charles X. Pedro therefore had little difficulty in raising money in Paris and men in London, and by July 1832 was able to seize control of Oporto. However, in the absence of popular support it took him until May 1834 finally to secure Miguel's surrender-a victory which he mainly owed to the a.s.sistance he received from the English sea captain Charles Napier. Four months later Pedro himself expired, having lived just long enough to restore his daughter to power.

Yet that did not bring Portugal's political troubles to an end. Finding Maria a suitable husband proved harder than expected when her first consort, the Duke of Leuchtenberg, died after just four months of marriage, and a replacement-Ferdinand of Saxe-Coburg, nephew of the Belgian King-was not found until 1836. More seriously, Maria's supporters quickly split into two rival factions: moderate "Chartists" (loyal to the const.i.tution of 1826) and more radical "Septembrists" (who looked further back to the more liberal 1822 version). Shortly after Maria's marriage to Ferdinand, the latter faction forcibly seized power. The Chartists attempted to do the same in 1837 and succeeded five years later. In 1846 there was yet another revolution, which precipitated joint Anglo-Spanish intervention the following year.

The Rothschilds watched the unfolding of the Portuguese civil war with mixed feelings, loath to miss out on any lucrative new business, but worried that the conflict might escalate. By 1832 James had begun tentatively to partic.i.p.ate in the operations of the Spanish financier Juan Alvarez Mendizabal, who had issued a 2 million loan for Pedro in Paris the year before. This was a gamble, for although there was indirect British and French support for Pedro, Austrian-backed support for Miguel could not be ruled out. Moreover, Miguel was able to raise a 40 million franc loan in Paris that same year. This explains why James was so pessimistic about the "Portuguese rubbish" from the outset. His view was that only a guarantee from Britain and France would make a Portuguese loan into "a nice piece of business"; but this Palmerston (wisely) refused to give. It is therefore not unreasonable to conclude that, when he and Nathan issued a 4 million loan for the restored government of Maria II in 1835, they were consciously dealing in what might today be called "junk bonds." For, even with Pedro dead and Miguel exiled, the likelihood of Portugal maintaining interest payments on these bonds was low. Thus James regarded those to whom he sold the bonds as, to put it mildly, naive. "We have a great many a.s.ses who have been buying this s.h.i.+t," he candidly reported to Nathan in early April. The 3 per cent bonds-which the Rothschilds issued at 67.5-enjoyed a temporary vogue, but within a matter of months were sliding rapidly as political instability persisted in Lisbon. Within a year they had fallen to 55; and by 1839 they stood at just 25. James later explained the rationale of the Rothschild involvement: such bonds were "the only thing on which one can gamble and speculate, for what is there to gain from the French rentes? Nothing. So the world is now speculating on this s.h.i.+t. One can gamble with these but one can never hold on to them." In other words, these high-yielding bonds were never seriously regarded as a.s.sets for long-term investors. They were mere speculative objects.

The trouble with selling "rubbish" is that some naive investors-or unlucky speculators-will inevitably be left holding it when the interest ceases to be paid; and they are unlikely to think very highly of the original vendor. For the sake of their own reputation, and therefore their ability successfully to float future bond issues, it was in the Rothschilds' interest to avoid a Portuguese default. As early as March 1835 James was nervously suggesting that the Rothschilds "should send someone over there [to Lisbon] two months before the interest falls due so as to a.s.sist the Government. We are too deeply involved in this matter not to try to render any a.s.sistance we can to these people." By May it was obvious that even with a change of Finance Minister there was not going to be enough cash to pay the interest due that year. "I think that we will have to pay the interest," he concluded gloomily. The disadvantage of this, however, was that bondholders would "get accustomed to the idea that you will [always] have to extend your helping hand, and in the end you will be unable to retreat."

As it turned out, however, Nathan's plan for a further 1 million advance was rejected in favour of a more generous offer by Goldschmidt, prompting a wave of retaliatory selling by the Rothschild houses in London and Paris. "There is no occasion for our supporting the market now that others have interfered in the Portuguese affairs," wrote Lionel angrily from his dying father's bedside in Frankfurt. "We can job in and out and only study our own advantage." James was beside himself at the conduct of the Lisbon government: "The miserable Portuguese Minister wants to cut the throat of his own credit so that one can't tell the world with any degree of certainty that the interest will be paid, and so he makes it appear as if he wants to bring everything down." "Your Portuguese are giving me a fever," he wrote to London in December 1836. "Never before in my life has anything upset me so much. These people are nothing more than the sc.u.m of the earth." The only aim now was to "persuade the public that these people have positively decided to ruin the credit and that we on our part have been doing everything in our power to prevent this." "We have to get out of this s.h.i.+t as quickly as we can," he reiterated a day later, "because we are dealing here with thoroughly disreputable people and with a minister who speculates on the demise of his own country."

Yet when the same problem arose in 1837 Lionel had no option but to offer once again to bail the government out: after all, the bonds on which the interest was due were still the bonds which had been issued by Rothschilds two years before. James too could see no alternative but to offer another short-term advance, especially now that the Rothschilds' old friends the Saxe-Coburgs had become involved through Ferdinand's marriage to Maria. The strategy in 1837 was to give Lisbon one final injection of cash "to prevent it being said that a Rothschild loan was not paid," and then to pull out. Even this attempt at damage-limitation misfired, leading to a protracted and highly embarra.s.sing legal wrangle with the Portuguese government. 1 1 Lionel sought to rationalise what had happened: Portuguese bonds might have fallen from 75 to 25, but "still our name is not lost." His uncle was unconvinced. "I don't wish to speculate with any money whatsoever on this muck" was more or less his last word on the subject of Portugal. Subsequent attempts to involve the Rothschilds in the country's finances were firmly rebuffed. Nor did their rivals let them forget the debacle. When Barings were approached for a loan in 1846, one of the partners argued strongly against any involvement on the grounds that "Portuguese credit has been so tainted by the mismanagement of the Jews and Jobbers . . . that it would not be a very desirable connexion for any House wis.h.i.+ng to stand well with the public." Lionel sought to rationalise what had happened: Portuguese bonds might have fallen from 75 to 25, but "still our name is not lost." His uncle was unconvinced. "I don't wish to speculate with any money whatsoever on this muck" was more or less his last word on the subject of Portugal. Subsequent attempts to involve the Rothschilds in the country's finances were firmly rebuffed. Nor did their rivals let them forget the debacle. When Barings were approached for a loan in 1846, one of the partners argued strongly against any involvement on the grounds that "Portuguese credit has been so tainted by the mismanagement of the Jews and Jobbers . . . that it would not be a very desirable connexion for any House wis.h.i.+ng to stand well with the public."

Spain was politically not so very different, though economically she had much more to offer than Portugal. Here too the source of conflict was dynastic: did Salic law-giving preference to the male line-apply in Spain, in which case Ferdinand VII's brother Carlos was his rightful heir; or should the throne pa.s.s to his only child, Isabella, born in 1830? Technically, Isabella's case was the stronger: although Salic law had been introduced in 1713, it had been repealed-albeit secretly-by Carlos IV in the Pragmatic Sanction of 1789, and Ferdinand took the precaution of publi cising this fact five months before his daughter's birth. On the other hand, when he fell ill in 1832, it became apparent that his brother Carlos had enough might (if not right) on his side to challenge Isabella's claim, forcing her mother Maria Christina into temporarily revoking the Pragmatic Sanction. Ferdinand's unexpected recovery forced Carlos to flee to Portugal, but civil war was now more or less inevitable. When the king finally died in September 1833, Carlos revealed that he had no intention of recognising Maria Christina's regency, returning to Spain to mobilise his supporters ten months later. As in Portugal, the dynastic dispute had an ideological significance: Carlos was the Spanish Dom Miguel, the reactionary "wicked uncle," while his sister-in-law Christina (after an initial dalliance with reforming absolutism in the person of Cea Bermudez) allied herself with "moderate" liberals like Martinez de la Rosa, and therefore enjoyed conditional support from the more "progressive" democrats who harked back to the revolution of 1820. The war also had a regional dimension: while Carlism was strongest in the countryside of Navarre and the Basque provinces, Isabella's cause appealed more to the bureaucrats of Madrid and the financiers of the country's main commercial centres.

There were four reasons for offering financial support to the government of the young Queen. As in the case of Portugal, there were the short-run profits to be made from selling new, high yield bonds to investors bored with increasingly predictable consols and rentes; but of course such bonds could just as easily be issued for Don Carlos. The decision to plump for Isabella was partly diplomatic: the Quadruple Alliance of 1834 between Britain, Portugal, Spain and (later) France seemed to signal unequivocal foreign support for Isabella's regime from the two powers who traditionally wielded most influence in the Peninsula. More importantly, however, Spain (unlike Portugal) had a particular kind of a.s.set which proved irresistibly attractive to the Rothschilds as a security for any loans: the mercury mines of Almaden to the west of Ciudad Real, one of only two major sources of the metal in the world at this time. For over three centuries, the mines had played a pivotal role in the international monetary system because of the use of mercury (or "quicksilver" as the Rothschilds preferred to call it) in the refining of silver and gold in Latin America. This in itself made them attractive to bankers. The crucial point was that the Spanish government traditionally sold the rights to work the mines and to market their output to private companies, most famously mortgaging them in the sixteenth century to the Augsburg bankers, the Fuggers. Decisively, these mines were controlled by Isabella's forces for most of the civil war. Finally, despite the dramatic contraction of her American empire, Spain still had lucrative commercial ties with her remaining colonies, notably Cuba and the Philippines; the former in particular was attractive to the Rothschilds because of its importance in the tobacco trade.

There were also, on the other hand, three difficulties attendant on any financial involvement with Spain. Firstly, and most obviously, there was the confusion caused by the country's protracted and inconclusive civil war. It was not until 1839-six years after Ferdinand's death-that the Carlist forces were effectively defeated. During that period, there were repeated changes of government in Madrid, as "Moderados" and "Progresistas" (to give the factions their later names) vied for control, the latter pressing for a more parliamentary and anti-clerical regime than Maria Christina had ever intended. Matters were further complicated by the growth in political influence of the leading military commanders; indeed it was one of these, General Baldomero Espartero, who, with Progresista support, forced Maria Christina to abdicate as Regent just a year after leading her forces to victory. Espartero in turn was ousted in 1843 and replaced a year later by his rival General Narvaez, who presided over what amounted to a decade of Moderado hegemony until yet another revolution in 1854.

The second argument against involvement in this unstable country was furnished by the bonds issued under the liberal regime of the early 1820s, the so-called "Cortes" (that is, parliament) bonds, which King Ferdinand had refused to honour following the suppression of the revolution. A law of 1831 formally "deferred" interest payments on these bonds for forty years, but this was scant consolation to the investors who had bought them; and the English holders of the Cortes bonds were determined to oppose any further issues of Spanish paper on the London stock exchange until they had secured better terms. Events were to reveal the extreme difficulty of re-establis.h.i.+ng Spanish credit internationally with memories of default so fresh. Finally, the support of the so-called "Northern courts"-Austria, Russia and Prussia-for the Carlist cause proved to be stronger than their support for Dom Miguel. Even if he could not contemplate direct military intervention, Metternich proved able to exert considerable diplomatic influence over events in Spain.

For all these reasons, the Rothschilds were initially reluctant to act alone in Spain. As early as December 1830 James and Nathan entered a kind of "sleeping" partners.h.i.+p (in return for a 2.5 per cent commission on sales) with the company which leased the Almaden mines in that year. This was intended as a first step towards greater involvement. "When the time comes that the Government wants to farm it out," James observed to his brother, "you will then be well placed to know exactly who all the customers are and how much one can sell and you will then find it that much easier to submit a proposal for the whole sum." More problematically, as it proved, James committed the Rothschilds to share all Spanish financial business with a consortium of Paris bankers led by the Spaniard Aguado. This provided a degree of camouflage for speculative dealings in existing Spanish paper (for the Cortes bonds continued to be traded, though at a price of around 30); but it placed awkward restrictions on Rothschild room for manoeuvre when new business had to be discussed with the Spanish government. By the summer of 1833, when a major tobacco deal came to nothing, Lionel was already finding the agreement with Aguado and his a.s.sociates more a hindrance than a help.

The debate over whether to increase or diminish this involvement in Spain placed a greater strain on familial harmony than any other issue the Rothschilds had to contend with before 1848; indeed, it is not too much to say that it threatened to break up the partners.h.i.+p between the five houses. Nathan was evidently keen to play a bigger and more independent role in Spanish finances, a position consistently supported by his nephew Anselm and rather less consistently by Lionel. James vacillated endlessly, one day seeing all the advantages, the next day seeing only the risks: "With this country there is a lot of money to be made, but on the other hand, one could lose a great deal of one's reputation"-this was James's constant refrain throughout the 1830s. "You know my dear Papa how he [James] is," wrote Lionel impatiently: "One minute he is for and one minute he is against the Business." Unlike his own son, Salomon was generally opposed to direct-or, to be precise, overt-involvement, primarily because of the intense pressure to which he was subjected by Metternich. But he too was inclined to waver: "Be so good as to read Uncle Salomon's letters," Lionel urged his father sarcastically in March 1834, "the first for the Spanish Spanish , the second , the second against against, the third for for."

Nathan's initial strategy seems to have been to secure some sort of agreement on the old Cortes bonds as the prelude to any new Spanish loan. However, all the Spanish negotiators with whom the Rothschilds dealt carefully avoided giving a commitment on the issue. After exceptionally convoluted and protracted negotiations, Nathan decided to ignore the warnings of Metternich, the Austrian amba.s.sador Apponyi, the Russian amba.s.sador Pozzo and no fewer than three French ministers (Broglie, Rigny and Soult), all of whom strongly advised the Rothschilds to avoid Spain.2 Despite the reservations of James and Lionel, who continued to argue for, at most, a joint and preferably anonymous operation with the Paris consortium, on April 18 Nathan unilaterally proposed to advance the Spanish government 15 million francs to pay the interest due at the end of June on its undeferred bonds. He had obtained no firm guarantee from Madrid that the Cortes bonds would be revalued, merely an empty promise that the issue would be raised when the Cortes met. Nor did he receive any security for his advance when the agreement was signed with the Spanish amba.s.sador in Paris and a representative of the Bank of San Fernando on June 7. As the Carlist-inclined Duke of Wellington sardonically observed, the Rothschilds were now well and truly "in the boat"; and, just as Metternich and the rest had predicted, "the boat" began to sink almost at once. Given the country's notorious record of default, it is not surprising that Nathan's decision to involve himself in Spanish finances attracted satirical comment. Two cartoons portrayed him as a "Jew-dish-us cakeman," standing by his trademark pillar selling a "rice cake" marked "Loan" (see ill.u.s.trations 13.i and 13.ii). "Who's for a slice? Who's for a slice?" reads the caption on the first. "All Hot! All Hot! Take care you don't burn your Fingers, Plenty of cakes but none like I make." From his pocket portrudes a bill marked "Spanish." The second cartoon shows the "cakeman" with his stall under his arm, having sold the cake. "Dat rice cake sold very well-I hope it vill agree wid my customers-I vil make anoder." Despite the reservations of James and Lionel, who continued to argue for, at most, a joint and preferably anonymous operation with the Paris consortium, on April 18 Nathan unilaterally proposed to advance the Spanish government 15 million francs to pay the interest due at the end of June on its undeferred bonds. He had obtained no firm guarantee from Madrid that the Cortes bonds would be revalued, merely an empty promise that the issue would be raised when the Cortes met. Nor did he receive any security for his advance when the agreement was signed with the Spanish amba.s.sador in Paris and a representative of the Bank of San Fernando on June 7. As the Carlist-inclined Duke of Wellington sardonically observed, the Rothschilds were now well and truly "in the boat"; and, just as Metternich and the rest had predicted, "the boat" began to sink almost at once. Given the country's notorious record of default, it is not surprising that Nathan's decision to involve himself in Spanish finances attracted satirical comment. Two cartoons portrayed him as a "Jew-dish-us cakeman," standing by his trademark pillar selling a "rice cake" marked "Loan" (see ill.u.s.trations 13.i and 13.ii). "Who's for a slice? Who's for a slice?" reads the caption on the first. "All Hot! All Hot! Take care you don't burn your Fingers, Plenty of cakes but none like I make." From his pocket portrudes a bill marked "Spanish." The second cartoon shows the "cakeman" with his stall under his arm, having sold the cake. "Dat rice cake sold very well-I hope it vill agree wid my customers-I vil make anoder."

13.i: Anon., No. 1. CITY POLITICS-JEW-DISH-US CAKEMAN: WHO'S FOR A SLICE? WHO'S FOR A SLICE? No. 1. CITY POLITICS-JEW-DISH-US CAKEMAN: WHO'S FOR A SLICE? WHO'S FOR A SLICE? (1834 or 1835). (1834 or 1835).

13.ii: Anon., No. 2. CITY POLITICS-JEW-DISH-US CAKEMAN. DAT RICE CAKE SOLD VERY WELL No. 2. CITY POLITICS-JEW-DISH-US CAKEMAN. DAT RICE CAKE SOLD VERY WELL (1834 or 1835). (1834 or 1835).

It is not easy to see why Nathan acted as he did. It is possible that he (along with Anselm) was lulled by the announcement of the Quadruple Alliance into thinking that the danger of civil war would fade, though there is no indication of any official nudge in this direction from Palmerston; on the contrary, Palmerston's man in Madrid, Charles Villiers, indignantly accused Nathan of "doing" the Spanish government with "not very advantageous conditions." The most likely explanation was that he wanted to pre-empt a rival bid by Thomas Wilson or Aguado and establish himself (or James) as "court banker" to Maria Christina, in antic.i.p.ation of a major new loan and conversion operation when the Cortes finally met. He plainly had a plan ready to convert the old Cortes bonds and probably also antic.i.p.ated short-run speculative profits, a.s.suming that the announcement of a Rothschild advance would boost their prices. One (admittedly hostile) Austrian diplomat recalled his saying: "I must grant it [the loan] because if I don't, somebody else will." Whatever his motive, the advance was uncharacteristically reckless. As James, Lionel and Anselm had all foreseen, the other French bankers promptly sued James, on the ground that Nathan had acted without due regard to the consortium contract. Only by offering Aguado a new agreement to share any future loan was James able to avert a costly defeat in the courts. Nor did the Spanish government's promise to bring the question of the deferred bonds before the new Cortes satisfy the Committee of the stock exchange in London. In Paris too the markets were unconvinced by Nathan's plan: Spanish bonds fell sharply in late June. Worse still, no sooner had the 15 million francs been paid over than a new Finance Minister took over in Madrid who a month later reneged on the agreement, claiming that the Rothschilds had promised to lend twice the amount; this too Nathan had been warned to expect.

It is not known for sure why the Minister in question, Toreno, was (as James put it) an "enemy." Partly, he was responding to domestic pressure to deal with Spanish bankers like Ardouin, with whom he concluded an alternative loan agreement for 4 million; more importantly, he was intent on a drastic "reduction" of the existing Spanish public debt-a conversion which would have cut the nominal value of Spanish bonds by as much as 75 per cent-something the Rothschilds regarded as a "declaration of bankruptcy." To make matters worse, Toreno's appointment coincided with the return of Don Carlos to Spain and an outbreak of cholera in Madrid. With Apponyi, the Austrian amba.s.sador in Paris, issuing dire warnings as to the consequences of French intervention against Carlos, the price of Spanish bonds plummeted, occasioning suicides and murder threats on the Paris bourse. Yet the Rothschilds, while doing their fair share of selling, could not risk an all-out financial "war" against Toreno, for the top priority in the midst of this debacle was to retrieve as much as possible of Nathan's 15 million francs, if only in the form of "those stinking [bonds] with which he is going bankrupt." It was, as James said, "an awful mess"; and it revealed very starkly the limitations of financial power when confronted by a government unafraid of the international bond market. "All I want you to declare is that we will get our money back and I ask nothing further of you," James implored the Spanish representative. "My commission is now over," the latter replied, "I have been recalled." In vain, James appealed to the amba.s.sador, to the French government and to Toreno himself. "My dear Nathan," he admitted, putting his finger on the Rothschilds' fundamental weakness, "we don't have any troops to force the Government to do that which it does not want to do."

All along, the Rothschilds had suffered from a lack of first-hand knowledge of Spanish affairs: none of them had visited Madrid and there was no dedicated full-time employee there until July. This explains why in August 1834 it was decided to send Lionel (accompanied by the lawyer Adolphe Cremieux) to thrash out some kind of agreement with Toreno face to face. The British amba.s.sador was impressed by the young man's negotiating skills; however, the Rothschild correspondence reveals that Toreno was able to convince Lionel that a fully fledged loan to Spain was now the only way of averting outright bankruptcy and the advent of a republican government. Anselm alone agreed. James and Nathan by now were interested solely in retrieving the money they had advanced to Toreno's predecessor. In January 1835 they reluctantly agreed to accept the equivalent of 15 million francs as a share of the new loan to be issued by Ardouin. Salomon later estimated their losses on the contract at 1.6 million francs.

Yet Lionel's negotiations achieved what proved to be a more important concession from Toreno; for during his stay at Madrid the contract for the Almaden mines fell due for renewal. As we have seen, the Rothschilds already had a stake in the mines and they had begun to think of increasing their control over the Spanish mercury market during 1834. Indeed, Lionel had explicitly suggested asking for the mines as a guarantee for the 15 million francs advanced. He now outbid four other companies to secure the new contract-essentially by bribing Toreno and the Queen and by offering, instead of a sealed bid, to pay 5 per cent more than the highest rival bid. The following year the contract was renegotiated in such a way that it became rather more advantageous for the Rothschilds. This was the beginning of a long and profitable involvement. According to the Rothschilds' own estimates, the mines at the time of the 1835 agreement were producing between 16,000 and 18,000 hundredweight of mercury a year. Under the 1835 contract, they paid the government rather more (54.5 pesetas or 2.18 per hundredweight) than they had paid under the previous contract (37 pesetas); but were then able to resell the mercury in London for 76-80 pesetas or to silver refineries in Mexico for as much as 150 pesetas per hundredweight. In sterling terms, that represented a profit of at the very least 13,000 a year, with the possibility of more if the output of the mines could be increased without depressing prices. When production was stepped up in 1838, the Rothschilds' annual income from the mines rose to 32,000, though this level of output proved unsustainable. That amounted to more than 13 per cent of the total net revenue from the mines-and no less than 38 per cent of the London house's profits (though half the money was shared with the Paris house). By the 1840s, 20 per cent was James's target return from Almaden.

The acquisition of the mercury rights also signalled a radical change of policy. From now on, rather than issue bonds for Spain against effectively worthless paper securities, they would finance the country's chronically unreliable government by making relatively short-run advances on the royalties they had to pay for the Almaden mercury. Later, similar advances would be made on the basis of copper and tobacco from Cuba. Commodities thus proved to be the best kind of security for loans to unstable states. In his comic poem "Romancero" Heine joked that Mendizabal (who became Finance Minister in 1835) had p.a.w.ned an ancient pearl necklace "to cover certain / deficits in state finances"; these had duly appeared "at the Tuileries . . . s.h.i.+mmering on the neck of Madame Solomon, baroness." Contemporaries would probably have recognised the allusion to the "jewels" of Almaden.

Of course, the Spanish government may have hoped that the mercury deal would lure the Rothschilds into making a full-scale loan. But in this they were sorely disappointed. True, by the spring of 1835 James was feeling more sanguine about Spain following the success of Ardouin's loan. This, however, proved to be short-lived as the Carlists seemed to gain the upper hand. The key question now became whether any foreign power would intervene to decide the outcome of the civil war. This had always been a possibility: France had intervened in Spain just over a decade before and there had been abortive liberal expeditions in the wake of the 1830 revolution. The Quadruple Alliance also seemed to imply some sort of British action on behalf of Maria Christina's regime (provided the Whigs stayed in power). But it was only after Toreno had wrecked his financial plans that Nathan became a convert to the idea of military intervention, as did Lionel. James, summoned to London to decide the next move, once again wavered. The experience of the early 1830s had made him deeply suspicious of the more hawkish French politicians, and he was inclined to reinforce Louis Philippe's pacific inclinations against the projects for intervention hatched by Thiers. On the other hand, he found it difficult to oppose his elder brother on the Spanish issue and gradually came round to supporting intervention. By contrast, their brother Salomon-who had all along had his doubts about getting involved with Spain-now acted energetically to counter Nathan's arguments for intervention, ultimately going to extraordinary lengths to dissociate himself from his brother's actions in his correspondence with Metternich.

Metternich had been kept well informed of Nathan's actions by the Austrian charge d'affaires in London, Hummelauer, and a junior official named Kirchner who was supposedly a.s.sisting Nathan with his consular duties. He therefore knew that Nathan was arguing for British intervention; indeed, Nathan appears to have admitted it openly to the Austrian amba.s.sador Esterhazy. To clear himself of guilt by a.s.sociation, Salomon therefore had to write one of the most extraordinary of all Rothschild letters, addressed to his senior clerk in Vienna, Leopold von Wertheimstein, but explicitly intended for Metternich's eyes. He began by claiming that the collapse in Spanish bond prices following Toreno's appointment as Finance Minister had been engineered by the Rothschilds as an act of "vengeance" on Toreno for the losses he had caused them. According to accounts which Salomon enclosed, Nathan had sold no less than 2 million of Spanish bonds, ruining Toreno's credit and proving that the Rothschilds were now "confirmed enemies of Spain." Not only that, but Salomon and James had then gone to see Talleyrand, Guizot, Broglie and Louis Philippe himself to argue "that France's credit would go to the devil if they intervened, and that they would have to face a second and third revolution." There was therefore no question of the Rothschilds lending "a single farthing" more to Spain. As if to convince Metternich of his sincerity, Salomon's letter concluded by heaping abuse on Nathan's head. "My brother Nathan Mayer," he wrote, is one of the ablest men as far as the Exchequer and price movements are concerned but has no special apt.i.tude in other matters . . . [H]e is a child in politics . . . [and] believes that the Powers will be pleased by intervention . . . In other matters that are not concerned with the Bourse, [he] is not particularly bright; he is exceedingly competent in his office, but apart from that, between ourselves, he can hardly spell his own name. This brother of mine, however, is so disgusted with Spain that he can hardly bear himself, just like all of us, only perhaps he feels it more because he realises that he made the advance of 15,000,000 francs without asking any of his partners about it.

Nor was that all. Salomon even went so far as to suggest that Nathan's error had put the entire future of the brothers' partners.h.i.+p in jeopardy: I myself do not yet know when we brothers will meet; whether the affair of the Spanish Loan will cause a split we shall see. I am sixty, my brother at Frankfurt is sixty-two; I have only two children and if I live very carefully I can live on the interest of my capital; I have fortunately only to provide for my son, as my Betty is as rich as her father. I do not mean that I intend to give up business but only to see to it that I can sleep peacefully. The Spanish affair has completely ruined my nerves; it is not the loss of money, for even if the whole 15,000,000 francs had been lost my share would have been only 3,000,000, but the unpleasantness which we have had with this business. Now Nathan Mayer Rothschild has four grown-up sons, and Carl has two younger boys, so they manage on the basis of a dozen heads. Because my father has so disposed we shall probably have to remain together, but I must confess that it has all very much tired and exhaustedYour,S. M. v. Rothschild.

For good measure, Salomon then accused the Russian amba.s.sador Pozzo of slandering James because he had been excluded from a profitable issue of Austrian bonds. This was no mere charade: the Rothschilds' private correspondence indicates how strongly Salomon felt on this issue. As late as 1840-after Don Carlos had been defeated-James could still tell his nephews: [W]e can't make a loan for Spain under our own name, unless a guarantee is provided by England and by France and . . . nevertheless I tell you, my dear nephews, I don't want to have anything to do with it . . . [I]t is only if the Governments provide us with the necessary guarantees that we can give the Northern Powers a reason, otherwise I can tell you, my dear nephews, that the first thing which my good Salomon will do will be to withdraw from the business. Do you think that this deal will generate a large enough profit to justify doing something like this?

It has generally been a.s.sumed that on this issue Metternich's political power prevailed over the Rothschilds' financial interests. Armed with good-quality intelligence and making the most of Salomon's desire to acquire the t.i.tle of Austrian consul for his son and nephews, Metternich appears to have succeeded in scuppering the project of an Anglo-French guaranteed loan to Toreno's mercurial successor, Mendizabal. Like the British amba.s.sador in Spain, Mendizabal a.s.sumed that the Rothschilds would back this project, not least because of his business links with James, with whom he had done business in Portuguese bonds.3 But Nathan-apparently responding to Salomon's pressure-chose to leak the Anglo-French plan to Vienna and more or less deliberately allowed the project to fall through, leaving Mendizabal high and dry. Indeed, he told Palmerston that he had no confidence in the solvency of Mendizabal's government. When the British Foreign Secretary pointed out that the planned sale of crown lands would raise money, Nathan replied with a characteristically earthy image: "Yes, in time, but not in time for the May dividend. It is like telling me at seven o'clock when I want my dinner [that] there is a calf feeding in a field a mile off." Contrary to the widespread expectation in diplomatic circles that they were itching to make such a guaranteed loan, in fact Nathan and James were steadily baling out of Spanish bonds altogether. But Nathan-apparently responding to Salomon's pressure-chose to leak the Anglo-French plan to Vienna and more or less deliberately allowed the project to fall through, leaving Mendizabal high and dry. Indeed, he told Palmerston that he had no confidence in the solvency of Mendizabal's government. When the British Foreign Secretary pointed out that the planned sale of crown lands would raise money, Nathan replied with a characteristically earthy image: "Yes, in time, but not in time for the May dividend. It is like telling me at seven o'clock when I want my dinner [that] there is a calf feeding in a field a mile off." Contrary to the widespread expectation in diplomatic circles that they were itching to make such a guaranteed loan, in fact Nathan and James were steadily baling out of Spanish bonds altogether.

The decisive moment in the civil war coincided with the Frankfurt family "summit" and Nathan's death. Ultimately, despite pressure from the French government to come to Maria Christina's a.s.sistance, the Rothschilds kept on selling Spanish bonds; indeed, Nathan's last instructions to his sons were to liquidate all their holdings. After his death, this clear-out continued, so that by 1837 the Rothschilds had more or less withdrawn completely from the market for Spanish bonds. The Spanish Prime Minister was now "that stinking Mendizabal," whom James had "never trusted"; Spanish bonds-now trading as low as 19-were simply "muck" or "s.h.i.+t." The fact that Salomon moved so quickly after Nathan's death to secure for Lionel the Austrian consuls.h.i.+p in London also seems to point to the importance of Metternich's leverage.

However, although Metternich appeared to have won, the private Rothschild letters show that if France and Britain had intervened militarily-rather than just financially-the Rothschilds might well have resumed large-scale lending to Spain. In ditching Mendizabal, Nathan was not merely bowing to pressure from Vienna. He was acting out of self-interest, in the belief that any loan to Spain was bound to fail in the absence of military intervention: no Spanish government could now afford to pay both the interest on its external debt and an army big enough to beat the Carlists. Despite all that Salomon had said to Metternich, by March 1836 James was privately itching for France to intervene. As he put it to Nathan following an inconclusive meeting with Louis Philippe and Thiers: If we should be so fortunate that we, over here, decide to intervene [in Spain], this could make a difference for us of many hundreds of thousands of pounds sterling, and we could earn a great deal of money, because we could then calmly deal in bills, quicksilver and everything else, but, unfortunately, I don't have any influence, nor indeed, does anyone else have influence over the King . . . I hope to G.o.d that they will indeed decide to intervene and you can then imagine how much business this will generate. I spoke so much [in favour of intervention] that my tongue nearly fell out of my throat.

When the possibility of French intervention surfaced again in July, he and Lionel were again briefly enthused, only to be disappointed at the half-heartedness of the measures taken.4 It was the same story when Thiers failed to overcome the King's opposition to intervention in the spring of 1837. Nor should it be a.s.sumed that the Rothschilds' refusal to back a full-scale loan to Mendizabal implied a complete withdrawal from Spanish finances. Before long, the practice of making advances on the mercury from the Almaden mines was resumed (despite Salomon's a.s.surances to the contrary to Metternich), making sums of the order of 100,000 available to the government. James also became increasingly interested in the revenue Spain was earning from Havana. In January 1837 some sort of deal was proposed by Mendizabal involving a buy-back of the deferred Cortes bonds in return for bills on Havana. Interestingly, the Rothschilds-Salomon included-were keen to do this, provided it could be kept secret. They were also continuing to pay the salaries of Spanish diplomats in Paris at this time, an arrangement dating back to 1834. Where they drew the line was at issuing bonds. Even when the idea was put forward for a loan secured on Cuban revenues, they showed little serious inclination to get involved (though this hesitation was probably reinforced by the impact of the 1837 American crisis in Cuba and by the contemporaneous gains made by Don Carlos in Spain). It was the same story when Thiers failed to overcome the King's opposition to intervention in the spring of 1837. Nor should it be a.s.sumed that the Rothschilds' refusal to back a full-scale loan to Mendizabal implied a complete withdrawal from Spanish finances. Before long, the practice of making advances on the mercury from the Almaden mines was resumed (despite Salomon's a.s.surances to the contrary to Metternich), making sums of the order of 100,000 available to the government. James also became increasingly interested in the revenue Spain was earning from Havana. In January 1837 some sort of deal was proposed by Mendizabal involving a buy-back of the deferred Cortes bonds in return for bills on Havana. Interestingly, the Rothschilds-Salomon included-were keen to do this, provided it could be kept secret. They were also continuing to pay the salaries of Spanish diplomats in Paris at this time, an arrangement dating back to 1834. Where they drew the line was at issuing bonds. Even when the idea was put forward for a loan secured on Cuban revenues, they showed little serious inclination to get involved (though this hesitation was probably reinforced by the impact of the 1837 American crisis in Cuba and by the contemporaneous gains made by Don Carlos in Spain).

Of course, it would have been difficult to retain control of the lucrative mercury business without making any concessions to the Spanish government. A shot was fired across Rothschild bows when, not long after the fall of Mendizabal in August 1837, the Cortes sought to revoke the Almaden contract, arguing that it had been improperly modified two years before. Defenders of the 1835 contract in Madrid warned that, if deprived of the Almaden mines, the Rothschilds might back Don Carlos "for they are the monetary dynasty of Europe, and a new lever in the balance of power, which might decide the success of the Pretender by inclining the scales in his favour." But only by agreeing to make more (and larger) advances on mercury and Havana bills were the Rothschilds able to retain the contract; and increasingly they had to allow their agent Weisweiller considerable lat.i.tude in the granting of such advances to avoid similar challenges, even turning a blind eye to the partners.h.i.+p he struck up with the governor of the Queen's court, Manuel Gaviria. Of all the threats to their position, the biggest was probably posed by the banker Aguado, who returned to dangle the possibility of a large loan in front of the new Espartero government, with a view-so the Rothschilds suspected-to challenging their monopoly at Almaden. The new Finance Minister Alejandro Mon did his best to convince James that without a loan of 5 million the Rothschilds would lose the mines. But Salomon, with Metternich still breathing down his neck, continued to oppose involvement in any such loan unless it could be done through a "front" like the Bank of San Fernando; and James remained leery of the purely economic risks involved (not least because the Carlists managed to occupy Almaden briefly in the course of April 1838). Once again it proved possible to hold on to the mines by means of large advances, which fluctuated between around 200,000 and 400,000. In 1839, with the Carlist threat more or less dead, there was renewed talk of a loan, but the Rothschilds still declined to be involved, showing much more interest in establis.h.i.+ng some kind of tobacco monopoly. As James shrewdly antic.i.p.ated, the defeat of Don Carlos merely unleashed the Moderado opposition to Espartero, replacing one form of political instability with another.

The price of this strategy-which gave the Spanish government as much money as a bond issue, if not more-was a good deal of Austrian irritation. Despite their best efforts, the Rothschilds could not hope to conceal what they were up to from Metternich (it was at this point that they began to realise that Kirchner was effectively spying on them). Yet the consequences were not serious: even James's fears that Lionel might lose his Austrian consuls.h.i.+p proved unfounded. Throughout the successive revolutions, coups and p.r.o.nunciamentos of the early 1840s, Rothschild policy remained consistent: to hang on to Almaden (albeit on rather less lucrative terms), to expand their involvement with the Cuban and Philippines trade, but to eschew bond issues. Politically, their position remained ambiguous: they apparently continued to act as Maria Christina's bankers even after Espartero had overthrown her, while at the same time leaving Weisweiller to maintain normal service first with Espartero and then with his Moderado successor Narvaez. This proved to be the only way of reconciling the sharply conflicting interests of the London, Paris and Vienna houses. The agreement reached in 1843 with the Austrian government for the import of 12 million Havana cigars may be seen as a kind of Rothschild peace-offering, designed to reconcile Metternich to the continuation of such business with Spain and her colonies.

A quite different diplomatic complication arose in the mid-1840s when the powers began to debate the question of Queen Isabella's marriage. The French wished to marry Isabella to her hypochondriac (and, they hoped, impotent) cousin Francisco de Asis and her sister to one of Louis Philippe's sons, the duc de Montpensier; Palmerston, appreciating that this might one day put a grandson of Louis Philippe on the Spanish throne, favoured the inevitable Coburg; while Metternich argued for a marriage between Isabella and Don Carlos's son Montemolin, to bridge symbolically the dynastic rift. There was an economic subtext, as usual, with France and Britain seeking trade agreements with Spain, as well as the usual talk of internationally guaranteed loans and renewed efforts by the British bondholders to get their unpaid interest. There was a good deal of excitement about this at the time, including fanciful rumours in Madrid that James was refusing to lend money to Spain until Isabella had settled the succession question by having a son. However, the Rothschilds were little more than reluctant onlookers and occasional messengers in all this: it merely hardened them in their resolve to abandon Spanish bonds. When Guizot and his amba.s.sador in Madrid interpreted James's refusal to back a loan to Narvaez and Mon as a vote of no confidence in their marriage schemes, they failed to see that this was merely the continuation of a Rothschild policy dating back fully ten years. Once again the great powers' conflicting interests threatened to impinge on the interests of the Rothschild houses; but this time a position of neutrality was easier to sustain as none of the Queen's possible spouses posed a threat to the Almaden monopoly. Control of the mines remained the sole object of Rothschild policy in Spain. Nor was it to be their last step away from "pure" finance and commerce, into the very different business of mineral extraction (and later also refining).

Yet even the commitment to Almaden was not unconditional. On the contrary: when the mercury contract came up for renewal in 1847, the Rothschilds were so unimpressed by the terms the Spanish government was prepared to offer that they began to contemplate withdrawal. This partly reflected their a.s.sessment of the world mercury market. Lionel Davidson's confirmation in 1845 of the existence of substantial mercury deposits in Mexico raised the possibility of discoveries elsewhere in the New World. (The price which the Rothschilds had to pay for the mercury monopoly crept up steadily from 54.5 pesetas in the beginning to 70 pesetas in 1850, while the price at which it could be sold abroad began to slip following these discoveries.) With demand falling especially low in the depressed economic conditions of 1847, the Rothschilds not unreasonably expected the government to improve its terms. For a government which was struggling financially, the choice was between maximising revenue from the mines and securing further cash advances from the Rothschilds. Opting for the former, the Minister elected to publish his offer, effectively ruling out further bargaining. The result was deadlock, with Spanish requests for an advance of 600,000 being firmly refused in the absence of better terms for the mercury contract. As James put it, "If one could earn 20 per cent then I would be all in favour of going ahead with the deal, but as matters stand at present we stand to make only a trivial sum . . . I can't see the big fortunes we stand to make from this deal, nor why we should invest our money in such a venture in these present times." By now, as we shall see, James had found more lucrative financial opportunities.

"That Blasted Country": America.

The Rothschilds' interest in Spain not only led them to establish new links with Cuba, the Philippines and Mexico. More by accident than design, it also led them to establish a permanent agency in the country which was to emerge as the dominant force on the other side of the Atlantic: the United States. Yet, despite its phenomenal economic potential and the furious pace of its development after 1820, America-it might as well be said at the outset-was a challenge to which the Rothschilds never quite rose.

The reason for this has not previously been explained. Of course, it was far away, and in many ways quite different in its business culture from Europe-"very sharp and peculiar" was the phrase once used at New Court, a view echoed and immortalised by d.i.c.kens in Martin Chuzzlewit Martin Chuzzlewit. But the same might easily be said a fortiori a fortiori of Brazil, with which the Rothschilds developed an enduring relations.h.i.+p. It has been suggested that the American market had been "sewn up" by the Barings before Rothschilds arrived on the scene, and later developed its own home-grown bankers, like J. P. Morgan, who would ultimately eclipse Rothschilds not only in the US but in the world. Yet this too will not quite do: the Rothschilds proved on numerous occasions in the nineteenth century that they had the financial muscle to oust even their most powerful rivals from business they coveted. That they did not do so in America requires a better explanation. of Brazil, with which the Rothschilds developed an enduring relations.h.i.+p. It has been suggested that the American market had been "sewn up" by the Barings before Rothschilds arrived on the scene, and later developed its own home-grown bankers, like J. P. Morgan, who would ultimately eclipse Rothschilds not only in the US but in the world. Yet this too will not quite do: the Rothschilds proved on numerous occasions in the nineteenth century that they had the financial muscle to oust even their most powerful rivals from business they coveted. That they did not do so in America requires a better explanation.

In fact, the answer may partly lie in the peculiarities of American democracy. The Rothschilds, as we have seen, always gave first place to public finance in their operations, and rarely conducted commercial business in a country without also lending to its government. However, this proved difficult in the US. The federal system meant that the financial needs of the central government were strictly limited, while some of the individual states proved to be among the least reliable creditors of the entire nineteenth century. A second and ultimately more serious obstacle was the American tradition of suspicion towards big banks. The Rothschilds generally liked to have a reliable local partner in their international operations, often a national or central bank in the mould of the Bank of England or the Banque de France. In Spain, that role was played by the Bank of San Fernando. In the United States, however, it proved politically impossible to establish such an inst.i.tution on an enduring basis. The first Bank of the United States (BUS), set up by Alexander Hamilton in 1791, expired twenty years later when the Republican-dominated Congress refused to renew its charter on the ground that it was unconst.i.tutional. The second BUS, established in 1816 with a capital of $25 million, became the focus of a powerful political campaign against the "money power" which was blamed for the deflationary pressures of the succeeding years. Though it survived a legal challenge by the state of Maryland, the Philadelphia-based bank fell victim to the populist President Andrew Jackson, who recognised the electoral advantages of an attack on the "monster," identified as it was with his rival Henry Clay. When the BUS's president, Nicholas Biddle, applied to have its charter renewed in 1832 (four years earlier than was necessary), Jackson vetoed it, vowing: "The Bank is trying to kill me, but I will kill it." Despite Biddle's effort to precipitate a financial panic in retaliation, "Old Hickory"-Jackson's nickname-carried the day, and in 1836 the bank lost its public status, though it continued to exist as a state bank in Pennsylvania. As we shall see, the Rothschilds' instinct was to do business with the BUS; but Jackson's attack fatally undermined its position. It should be added that American suspicion of big banks was allied to a suspicion of foreign banks, and especially Jewish ones. No sooner had the Rothschilds appeared on the American scene than Governor Mc.n.u.tt of Missisippi was denouncing "Baron Rothschild" for having "the blood of Judas and Shylock flow[ing] in his veins, and . . . unit[ing] the qualities of both his countrymen."

Rothschild interest in the US dates from the early 1830s, when an opportunity arose to arrange the payment of a million pounds owing to the Treasury in Was.h.i.+ngton from France. This coup led to the Rothschilds replacing the Barings as the federal government's London agents. At the same time, Nathan and James began to interest themselves for the first time in American state loans and commercial finance. American exports of cotton and tobacco to Europe were advancing by leaps and bounds, and by the mid-1830s the London and Paris houses were doing a considerable volume of business in the bills generated by this trade, advancing substantial sums to a number of American bankers, notably J. L. and S. I. Joseph. In the American financial crisis of 1836-7, they and all the other firms with which the Rothschilds had dealings got into serious difficulties; and it was at this point that the Rothschilds were forced to make a decision about the future of their involvement in the US, and above all about the nature of their representation there.

The "appointment" of August Belmont (originally Schonberg) as the Rothschilds' agent in New York was an accident. Belmont had joined the Frankfurt house as an apprentice at the age of fifteen, and had risen rapidly through the ranks, getting up at 5 a.m. each morning to improve his French, English and arithmetic. By 1834 he was acting as secretary to one of the partners, visiting Paris, Naples and Rome; and in 1837 it was decided to send him across the Atlantic. However, contrary to a report in the Allgemeine Zeitung des Judenthums Allgemeine Zeitung des Judenthums, the intention was definitely not that Belmont should establish himself as the bank's New York agent. His orders were to take stock of the financial crisis there-to "let us know what is going on and one can then decide accordingly what to do"-and then to proceed to Havana. This planned itinerary reveals that, in James's view, the family's interests in Cuba were what mattered: as he put it, quite apart from existing commitments there of around 100,000, "Spain receives all her income from that land and it is one of the most profitable business ventures." By contrast, he and his nephews had managed to reduce their commitments in the US to just 9,000 by the end of April, and James was prepared to write this remainder off as "a lost cause." The possibility of establis.h.i.+ng a Rothschild house in New York was not wholly ruled out, for James recognised the American market's potential and was convinced that there were bargains to be snapped up from the "s.h.i.+pwreck" left by the banking crisis; but he evidently regarded this as a job far in excess of Belmont's capabilities. His trip was intended to be of short duration; indeed, there was not even any question of his taking over the Havana office. What James really wanted was for a Rothschild to go to America.

But who? The debate on this question illuminates the fundamental problem which was to bedevil the Rothschilds' American policy for decades to come: no one wanted to go there-witness James's vain attempts to persuade his nephews to accept the mission. Anthony, he claimed, had "long indicated that he would like to go to America [and] would gladly make use of this opportunity:"

I am strongly urging him to do so without delay. We have so many interests in that country and in Havana that one of us should immediately go over there. However, I don't believe that you, my dear Anselm, should go there. It is Anthony's turn to do so. I know very well that it is not a pleasure trip but the business has to be attended to and you, my dear Anselm, can't go there, firstly, because my brother Amschel is not feeling well enough to remain in Frankfurt with my brother Carl this coming summer. The latter also wants to take the waters . . . and thirdly, you are a married man whereas Anthony is a bachelor so that I can't see any reason whatsoever why it should not be Anthony rather than you who should go. Well, I don't have anyone here who knows English . . . I think that it will be possible to earn a lot of money in America. The American funds which one can sell in London will be purchasable in America for next to nothing, for no House has any credit over there and . . . one can earn some very nice profits. Well, once you are in America you can then send Belmont ahead of you to Havana . . . In short, my dear nephew, I urge you to think it over very carefully but whatever plan you decide to proceed with the main thing is that you do it without any delays.

For reasons which are unclear, this proposal was abandoned or rejected, possibly because of the opposition of Anthony's mother. However, a month later-and a week and a half after Belmont had reached New York-James tried again. "Don't you think," he asked his nephews somewhat disingenuously, "that Belmont should go from America to Havana, for our interests in America are no longer so substantial? I don't have anyone here and if you so want then I will go to America and Belmont can then go to Havana for the trip to America is no great deal. It is child's play." If this was intended to throw down the gauntlet to his nephews, it very nearly worked, to judge by James's next letter: Well my dear Nat, you ask me what I meant when I said that had I been younger I would have gone to Havana and whether I was trying to give you a subtle hint. I must therefore tell you quite frankly what my thoughts regarding this matter are. I would most certainly have gone to Havana in person . . . For me personally this would have been a trip which I would gladly have undertaken. However, if one of my nephews wanted to go there I would then oppose such a plan with all my strength and my love and would not permit it for [Havana] is too far away and too dangerous because of the heat and, moreover, it is not important enough for our business to justify one's exposure to such dangers.

This, of course, was mere soft soap. James now came to the point.

However, America is a different matter altogether, as the voyage there is no less safe than a voyage from Calais to Dover where one can calculate in advance how many days the trip will take. I would, however, like to put a question to you. Do we or don't we want to get involve